FHFA annual index 1975–2025Developmental county indexPermits through August 2026
Orange County (100 = first year)United States, rebased to the same startNBER recession
FHFA notes: The FHFA HPI is a broad measure of the movement of single-family house prices. The FHFA HPI is a weighted, repeat-sales index, meaning that it measures average price changes in repeat sales or refinancings on the same properties. FHFA describes its county indexes as developmental and subject to revision. The index does not give a dollar value for any home.
Orange County, North Carolina (Durham-Chapel Hill, NC area), has an FHFA house price index from 1975. Through 2025 it has risen +1090.4%, from 100 to 1190.
Over the ten years to 2025 the index rose +96.7% (+7.0% a year), below North Carolina at +106.6% and above the national +85.0%. The Durham-Chapel Hill, NC area rose +109.3%. The latest one-year change is +3.3%.
The strongest decade was the 1980s (+74.1%); the weakest the 2010s (+27.1%).
After a 2008 peak the index fell −7.0% to 2012 and regained the peak in 2016.
Builders were authorised for 1,065 housing units in the county in the 12 months to August 2026 (+82.4% on the previous 12 months), 7.0 units per 1,000 residents; 33% were single-family houses. Since 1995 the county has authorised 23,293 units, most in 1999.
+3.3%1 year, 2024–2025North Carolina +2.5%
+60.5%5 yearsUS +47.0%
+96.7%10 years+7.0% a year annualised
+176.2%since 2000US +158.3%
1,065units permitted, 12 months7.0 per 1,000 residents
All columns are FHFA annual all-transactions indexes over the same years.
Decade by decade
Decade
Change
United States
1980s (1980–1990)
+74.1%
+68.2%
1990s (1990–2000)
+54.1%
+33.9%
2000s (2000–2010)
+35.4%
+29.7%
2010s (2010–2020)
+27.1%
+35.5%
2020s so far (2020–2025)
+60.5%
+47.0%
FHFA reports each index with a value of 100 in its base period, the first year the area has enough transactions (1975 here). A decade's change is the index at the end of the decade divided by the index at the start, so it does not depend on the base year; the United States column covers the same years. Decades before 1975 are not shown.
Peak-to-low declines
Peak
Low
Decline
Peak regained
2008
2012
−7.0%
2016
Building permits
Housing units authorised by building permits in Orange County, by month over the latest five years and by year since 1995.
Housing units authorised in Orange County by month, latest 12 monthssingle-family2+ unit buildings
Housing units authorised in Orange County by month, latest 60 monthssingle-family2+ unit buildings
Housing units authorised in Orange County by year, 1995–2025single-family2+ unit buildings
Permits, 12 months to August 2026
Orange County
North Carolina
United States
Housing units authorised
1,065
87,853
1,418,086
Units per 1,000 residents
7.0
7.8
4.1
Single-family share
33%
70%
63%
Change on previous 12 months
+82.4%
+2.0%
−0.1%
Units authorised since 1995
23,293
2,242,441
43,082,761
Population is the Census Bureau's vintage 2025 estimate. Permits authorise construction; they are not completions.
ZIP codes in Orange County
Ranked by ten-year change in the FHFA ZIP index. Where a ZIP's index ends before 2025, its spans end in that year.
How much have home values in Orange County risen over 10 years?
The FHFA index for Orange County rose +96.7% from 2015 to 2025, about +7.0% a year. Over 20 years: +121.8%; since 2000: +176.2%.
How does Orange County compare with North Carolina and the United States?
Over the ten years to 2025: Orange County +96.7%, North Carolina +106.6%, United States +85.0%, Durham-Chapel Hill, NC +109.3%.
What happened to Orange County prices in 2008?
The index peaked in 2008 and fell −7.0% to 2012; it passed the peak again in 2016. The state index fell −13.8% over 2008–2012.
How many homes are being built in Orange County?
1,065 housing units were authorised by building permits in the 12 months to August 2026 (348 single-family, 713 in buildings of five or more units), or 7.0 per 1,000 residents against 7.8 for North Carolina.
Where does this data come from?
The index is FHFA's annual county house price index (all-transactions, developmental), last updated March 31, 2026, with values through 2025. Permits are from the Census Bureau Building Permits Survey through August 2026; population is the Census Bureau's vintage 2025 estimate.
Provenance
Index: Federal Housing Finance Agency, annual house price index for counties (all-transactions, developmental), last updated March 31, 2026, values 1975–2025; metro, state and national comparisons from FHFA's annual indexes in the same release. Permits: Census Bureau Building Permits Survey, county and place files, through August 2026. Population: Census Bureau vintage 2025 estimates. ZIP assignment: 2020 ZCTA-to-county relationship file. Public domain throughout. Corrections · FHFA HPI datasets · Building Permits Survey.