FHFA annual index 1993–2025Developmental county indexPermits through August 2026
Warren County (100 = first year)United States, rebased to the same startNBER recession
FHFA notes: The FHFA HPI is a broad measure of the movement of single-family house prices. The FHFA HPI is a weighted, repeat-sales index, meaning that it measures average price changes in repeat sales or refinancings on the same properties. FHFA describes its county indexes as developmental and subject to revision. The index does not give a dollar value for any home.
FHFA's index for Warren County, Tennessee, starts in 1993 and stood at 422 in 2025, +322.0% above its base of 100.
Over the ten years to 2025 the index rose +141.6% (+9.2% a year), well above Tennessee at +113.5% and well above the national +85.0%. The McMinnville, TN area rose +141.6%. The latest one-year change is +7.5%.
The strongest decade was the 2010s (+45.6%); the weakest the 2000s (+20.9%).
Builders were authorised for 298 housing units in the county in the 12 months to August 2026 (−2.9% on the previous 12 months), 6.8 units per 1,000 residents; 85% were single-family houses. Since 1995 the county has authorised 2,875 units, most in 2023.
+7.5%1 year, 2024–2025Tennessee +2.4%
+76.1%5 yearsUS +47.0%
+141.6%10 years+9.2% a year annualised
+210.0%since 2000US +158.3%
298units permitted, 12 months6.8 per 1,000 residents
All columns are FHFA annual all-transactions indexes over the same years.
Decade by decade
Decade
Change
United States
2000s (2000–2010)
+20.9%
+29.7%
2010s (2010–2020)
+45.6%
+35.5%
2020s so far (2020–2025)
+76.1%
+47.0%
FHFA reports each index with a value of 100 in its base period, the first year the area has enough transactions (1993 here). A decade's change is the index at the end of the decade divided by the index at the start, so it does not depend on the base year; the United States column covers the same years. Decades before 1993 are not shown.
Peak-to-low declines
No decline of 5% or more from a peak appears in the annual index for this area.
Building permits
Housing units authorised by building permits in Warren County, by month over the latest five years and by year since 1995.
Housing units authorised in Warren County by month, latest 12 monthssingle-family2+ unit buildings
Housing units authorised in Warren County by month, latest 60 monthssingle-family2+ unit buildings
Housing units authorised in Warren County by year, 1995–2025single-family2+ unit buildings
Permits, 12 months to August 2026
Warren County
Tennessee
United States
Housing units authorised
298
41,556
1,418,086
Units per 1,000 residents
6.8
5.7
4.1
Single-family share
85%
74%
63%
Change on previous 12 months
−2.9%
−4.5%
−0.1%
Units authorised since 1995
2,875
1,112,775
43,082,761
Population is the Census Bureau's vintage 2025 estimate. Permits authorise construction; they are not completions.
ZIP codes in Warren County
Ranked by ten-year change in the FHFA ZIP index. Where a ZIP's index ends before 2025, its spans end in that year.
How much have home values in Warren County risen over 10 years?
The FHFA index for Warren County rose +141.6% from 2015 to 2025, about +9.2% a year. Over 20 years: +181.0%; since 2000: +210.0%.
How does Warren County compare with Tennessee and the United States?
Over the ten years to 2025: Warren County +141.6%, Tennessee +113.5%, United States +85.0%, McMinnville, TN +141.6%.
What happened to Warren County prices in 2008?
The county index shows no decline of 5% or more from a 2005–2008 peak. The Tennessee index fell −9.2% over 2008–2012.
How many homes are being built in Warren County?
298 housing units were authorised by building permits in the 12 months to August 2026 (252 single-family, 19 in buildings of five or more units), or 6.8 per 1,000 residents against 5.7 for Tennessee.
Where does this data come from?
The index is FHFA's annual county house price index (all-transactions, developmental), last updated March 31, 2026, with values through 2025. Permits are from the Census Bureau Building Permits Survey through August 2026; population is the Census Bureau's vintage 2025 estimate.
Provenance
Index: Federal Housing Finance Agency, annual house price index for counties (all-transactions, developmental), last updated March 31, 2026, values 1993–2025; metro, state and national comparisons from FHFA's annual indexes in the same release. Permits: Census Bureau Building Permits Survey, county and place files, through August 2026. Population: Census Bureau vintage 2025 estimates. ZIP assignment: 2020 ZCTA-to-county relationship file. Public domain throughout. Corrections · FHFA HPI datasets · Building Permits Survey.