Texas · Waco, TX metro area · 17,869 residents (2025 est.)
FHFA annual index 2002–2025Developmental county indexPermits through August 2026
Falls County (100 = first year)United States, rebased to the same startNBER recessionPeak before the latest index value
FHFA notes: The FHFA HPI is a broad measure of the movement of single-family house prices. The FHFA HPI is a weighted, repeat-sales index, meaning that it measures average price changes in repeat sales or refinancings on the same properties. FHFA describes its county indexes as developmental and subject to revision. The index does not give a dollar value for any home.
FHFA's index for Falls County, Texas, starts in 2002 and stood at 244 in 2025, +143.9% above its base of 100.
Over the ten years to 2025 the index rose +80.8% (+6.1% a year), below Texas at +88.2% and below the national +85.0%. The Waco, TX area rose +105.5%. The latest one-year change is +9.2%.
After a 2008 peak the index fell −7.9% to 2010 and regained the peak in 2011.
Builders were authorised for 8 housing units in the county in the 12 months to August 2026 (+14.3% on the previous 12 months), 0.4 units per 1,000 residents; 75% were single-family houses. Since 1995 the county has authorised 235 units, most in 2005.
+9.2%1 year, 2024–2025Texas +0.8%
+60.0%5 yearsUS +47.0%
+80.8%10 years+6.1% a year annualised
—since 2000US +158.3%
8units permitted, 12 months0.4 per 1,000 residents
All columns are FHFA annual all-transactions indexes over the same years.
Decade by decade
Decade
Change
United States
2010s (2010–2020)
+34.0%
+35.5%
2020s so far (2020–2025)
+60.0%
+47.0%
FHFA reports each index with a value of 100 in its base period, the first year the area has enough transactions (2002 here). A decade's change is the index at the end of the decade divided by the index at the start, so it does not depend on the base year; the United States column covers the same years. Decades before 2002 are not shown.
Peak-to-low declines
Peak
Low
Decline
Peak regained
2023
2024
−12.8%
not by 2025
2011
2012
−9.0%
2015
2008
2010
−7.9%
2011
2006
2007
−5.5%
2008
Building permits
Housing units authorised by building permits in Falls County, by month over the latest five years and by year since 1995.
Housing units authorised in Falls County by month, latest 12 monthssingle-family2+ unit buildings
Housing units authorised in Falls County by month, latest 60 monthssingle-family2+ unit buildings
Housing units authorised in Falls County by year, 1995–2025single-family2+ unit buildings
Permits, 12 months to August 2026
Falls County
Texas
United States
Housing units authorised
8
194,150
1,418,086
Units per 1,000 residents
0.4
6.1
4.1
Single-family share
75%
70%
63%
Change on previous 12 months
+14.3%
−10.8%
−0.1%
Units authorised since 1995
235
5,276,895
43,082,761
Population is the Census Bureau's vintage 2025 estimate. Permits authorise construction; they are not completions.
ZIP codes in Falls County
Ranked by ten-year change in the FHFA ZIP index. Where a ZIP's index ends before 2025, its spans end in that year.
How much have home values in Falls County risen over 10 years?
The FHFA index for Falls County rose +80.8% from 2015 to 2025, about +6.1% a year. Over 20 years: +140.6%; since 2000: —.
How does Falls County compare with Texas and the United States?
Over the ten years to 2025: Falls County +80.8%, Texas +88.2%, United States +85.0%, Waco, TX +105.5%.
What happened to Falls County prices in 2008?
The index peaked in 2008 and fell −7.9% to 2010; it passed the peak again in 2011. The state index fell — over —–—.
How many homes are being built in Falls County?
8 housing units were authorised by building permits in the 12 months to August 2026 (6 single-family, 0 in buildings of five or more units), or 0.4 per 1,000 residents against 6.1 for Texas.
Where does this data come from?
The index is FHFA's annual county house price index (all-transactions, developmental), last updated March 31, 2026, with values through 2025. Permits are from the Census Bureau Building Permits Survey through August 2026; population is the Census Bureau's vintage 2025 estimate.
Provenance
Index: Federal Housing Finance Agency, annual house price index for counties (all-transactions, developmental), last updated March 31, 2026, values 2002–2025; metro, state and national comparisons from FHFA's annual indexes in the same release. Permits: Census Bureau Building Permits Survey, county and place files, through August 2026. Population: Census Bureau vintage 2025 estimates. ZIP assignment: 2020 ZCTA-to-county relationship file. Public domain throughout. Corrections · FHFA HPI datasets · Building Permits Survey.