FHFA quarterly index through 2026 Q2Annual index 1976–2025Permits through August 2026
Winchester (100 = first year)United States, rebased to the same startNBER recession
FHFA notes: The FHFA HPI is a broad measure of the movement of single-family house prices. The FHFA HPI is a weighted, repeat-sales index, meaning that it measures average price changes in repeat sales or refinancings on the same properties. The line above is FHFA's standard quarterly all-transactions index for the metropolitan area; the comparison table below uses FHFA's annual CBSA index, which FHFA describes as developmental. The index does not give a dollar value for any home.
Winchester, VA-WV is a metropolitan statistical area of 3 counties and about 152,000 residents. FHFA's annual index for it begins in 1976 and has risen +803.0% through 2025.
The standard quarterly index for the area, published through 2026 Q2, is +6.7% on a year earlier and +3.6% on the previous quarter.
Over the ten years to 2025 the annual index rose +82.4% (+6.2% a year), above Virginia at +74.6% and close to the national +85.0%.
From a 2006 peak the index fell −35.8% to 2012, regaining the peak in 2022.
Across its counties, 1,129 housing units were authorised in the 12 months to August 2026, 7.4 per 1,000 residents, +27.0% on the previous 12 months.
+6.7%year to 2026 Q2, quarterly indexUS +3.0%
+5.1%1 year, 2024–2025US +2.8%
+52.6%5 yearsUS +47.0%
+82.4%10 years+6.2% a year annualised
+181.3%since 2000US +158.3%
1,129units permitted, 12 months7.4 per 1,000 residents
FHFA annual all-transactions indexes over identical years. The state column is Virginia, the first state in the area's name.
Decade by decade
Decade
Change
United States
1980s (1980–1990)
+94.3%
+68.2%
1990s (1990–2000)
+18.4%
+33.9%
2000s (2000–2010)
+39.4%
+29.7%
2010s (2010–2020)
+32.3%
+35.5%
2020s so far (2020–2025)
+52.6%
+47.0%
FHFA reports each index with a value of 100 in its base period, the first year the area has enough transactions (1976 here). A decade's change is the index at the end of the decade divided by the index at the start, so it does not depend on the base year; the United States column covers the same years. Decades before 1976 are not shown.
Peak-to-low declines
Peak
Low
Decline
Peak regained
2006
2012
−35.8%
2022
Building permits across the area
Housing units authorised in the area's 3 counties (OMB July 2023 delineations), summed from county files.
Housing units authorised in the Winchester, VA-WV area by month, latest 12 monthssingle-family2+ unit buildings
Housing units authorised in the Winchester, VA-WV area by month, latest 60 monthssingle-family2+ unit buildings
Housing units authorised in the Winchester, VA-WV area by year, 1995–2025single-family2+ unit buildings
Permits, 12 months to August 2026
This area
Virginia
United States
Housing units authorised
1,129
37,520
1,418,086
Units per 1,000 residents
7.4
4.2
4.1
Single-family share
78%
55%
63%
Change on previous 12 months
+27.0%
+12.1%
−0.1%
Counties in the area
Ranked by ten-year change in FHFA's county index to 2025; permits are the latest 12 months.
How much have home values in the Winchester, VA-WV area risen over 10 years?
The FHFA annual index rose +82.4% between 2015 and 2025, about +6.2% a year. Over 20 years: +48.7%; since 2000: +181.3%. The quarterly index is +6.7% on a year earlier as of 2026 Q2.
Which counties in the Winchester, VA-WV area rose most?
By ten-year change to 2025: Winchester city (+87.1%), Frederick County (+81.4%) and Hampshire County (+65.8%).
What happened to Winchester, VA-WV prices after 2007?
The index peaked in 2006, fell −35.8% to 2012 and regained the peak in 2022. Nationally: −21.3% from 2007 to 2012.
How many homes are being built in the Winchester, VA-WV area?
1,129 housing units were authorised across the area's counties in the 12 months to August 2026, 78% of them single-family, 7.4 per 1,000 residents.
Where does this data come from?
FHFA's annual CBSA house price index (developmental, updated March 31, 2026) and its standard quarterly metropolitan index; Census Bureau building permits summed over member counties (OMB July 2023 delineations) through August 2026; vintage 2025 population estimates.
Provenance
Index: Federal Housing Finance Agency, annual house price index for core based statistical areas (all-transactions, developmental), last updated March 31, 2026, values 1976–2025; quarterly metropolitan area index (all-transactions) through 2026 Q2. Permits: Census Bureau Building Permits Survey county files through August 2026, summed over member counties from OMB's July 2023 delineations. Population: Census Bureau vintage 2025 estimates. Public domain. Corrections · FHFA HPI datasets.